Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 21
Nov 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Altrincham

Rochdale
3 - 0
Altrincham

East (15', 63'), Mitchell (71')
Gilmour (26'), John (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marriott (39'), Southern-Cooper (87')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-1 Altrincham
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawAltrincham
51.5% (0.073 0.07)22.46% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)26.04% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.37% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.41% (0.067999999999998 0.07)38.58% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.11% (0.071999999999996 0.07)60.88% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.84% (0.046999999999997 0.05)15.16% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.24% (0.093000000000004 0.09)43.75% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 51.5%
    Altrincham 26.04%
    Draw 22.45%
RochdaleDrawAltrincham
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.88% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 26.04%