Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Maidenhead United
National League | Gameweek 15
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
York Road Stadium
Rochdale

Maidenhead
2 - 2
Rochdale

Smith (60'), Zimba (84')
De Havilland (66'), Asare (70'), Pettit (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mitchell (29'), Sinclair (86')
Oduroh (90+8'), Rodney (90+2'), Keohane (90+5')
Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawRochdale
23.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)26.36% (0.012 0.01)50.38% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)57.24% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)78.09% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.17% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)22.81% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)56.53% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 23.26%
    Rochdale 50.37%
    Draw 26.36%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.81% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 23.26%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 13.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 4.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50.37%