National League | Gameweek 12

Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

York Road Stadium

Maidenhead
0 - 1
Altrincham

Mitchell-Lawson (44'), Pettit (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Conn (72')
Marriott (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 3-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 6-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Altrincham
51.16% ( 0.81)	24.67% ( -0.22)	24.17% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 52.01% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.94% (

0.41)

50.05% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97% (

0.36)

72.03% (

-0.36)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

0.49)

19.56% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

0.79)

51.48% (

-0.79)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

-0.29)

35.34% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9% (

-0.3)

72.1% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 51.15%

Altrincham 24.17%

Draw 24.67%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Altrincham
1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 51.15%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 2% Total : 24.17%