National League | Gameweek 24

Jan 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
3 - 2
Maidenhead

Conn (25', 63'), Dinanga (32')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Smith (18'), McCoulsky (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Altrincham and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Halifax 2-2 Altrincham
Sunday, January 1 at 3.15pm in National League

Goals
for

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Scunthorpe 3-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Maidenhead United
49.89% ( -0.48)	23.84% ( -0.13)	26.27% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

1.07)

44.73% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

1.02)

67.09% (

-1.02)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

0.22)

18.01% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.11% (

0.38)

48.88% (

-0.38)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

1.05)

30.73% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01% (

1.22)

66.99% (

-1.22)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 49.89%

Maidenhead United 26.27%

Draw 23.83%

Altrincham	Draw	Maidenhead United
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.89%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.27%