National League | Gameweek 22

Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
2 - 2
Altrincham

Bridge (27'), Wreh (42')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Colclough (35'), Newby (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Southend United and Altrincham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Southend
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 2-1 Eastleigh
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Altrincham
67.81% ( 0.32)	18.65% ( -0.27)	13.54% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.2% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.92% (

1.15)

40.07% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.56% (

1.18)

62.44% (

-1.19)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.15% (

0.4)

10.85% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.05% (

0.9)

34.95% (

-0.9)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.55% (

0.66)

41.44% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.05% (

0.58)

77.95% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Southend United 67.81%

Altrincham 13.54%

Draw 18.65%

Southend United	Draw	Altrincham
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.18% Total : 67.81%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.65%	0-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 13.54%