Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Southend United |
| 23.99% ( | 23.22% ( | 52.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( | 44.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( | 66.45% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( | 32.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% ( | 68.72% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( | 16.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.44% ( | 46.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.99% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 1-3 @ 5.83% ( 0-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 1-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 52.79% |