FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
2 - 3
Stevenage

Harris (53'), Conteh (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Roberts (21'), Richardson (34' og.), Norris (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Gateshead and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Stevenage
29.67% ( -0.05)	24.28% ( 0)	46.04% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.91% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.55% (

-0.03)

44.44% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18% (

-0.04)

66.82% (

0.03)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

-0.05)

28.11% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

-0.06)

63.79% (

0.06)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

19.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72% (

0.01)

51.28% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 29.68%

Stevenage 46.04%

Draw 24.27%

Gateshead	Draw	Stevenage
2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.68%	1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 46.04%