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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 31.42% ( | 27.8% ( | 40.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.89% ( | 58.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.22% ( | 78.78% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( | 33.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( | 70.54% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( | 27.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( | 63.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 12.07% ( 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.77% |