League Two

League Two | Gameweek 12

Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Colchester

Davison (47', 66' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Appiah (18')

Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.59%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Colchester United
47.59% ( -0.07)	28.02% ( -0.04)	24.38% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 42.91% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.98% (

0.17)

62.01% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.25% (

0.13)

81.75% (

-0.13)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

0.05)

26.24% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

0.06)

61.34% (

-0.06)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.17% (

0.2)

41.83% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71% (

0.17)

78.29% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 47.58%

Colchester United 24.38%

Draw 28.01%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 14.68% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 47.58%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 24.38%