EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon2 - 1Aston Villa U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between AFC Wimbledon and Aston Villa Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Carlisle United | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Sutton United | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-2 Leeds U21s
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Norwich City Under-21s | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Aston Villa Under-21s | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Sunderland Under-21s | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
47.3% ( -0.06) | 24.53% ( 0.25) | 28.16% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
