Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between MK Dons and Aston Villa Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 71.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 71.14% | 16.19% | 12.67% |
| Both teams to score 59.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.94% | 30.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.74% | 51.26% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.52% | 7.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.12% | 26.88% |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% | 36.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% | 72.84% |
| Score Analysis |
MK Dons 71.14%
Aston Villa Under-21s 12.67%
Draw 16.19%
| MK Dons | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 8% 3-0 @ 7.84% 1-0 @ 7% 4-1 @ 5.18% 4-0 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 4.08% 5-1 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.64% 5-2 @ 1.37% 6-1 @ 1.16% 6-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 4% Total : 71.14% | 1-1 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 2.7% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.26% Total : 16.19% | 1-2 @ 3.64% 0-1 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-2 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.03% Total : 12.67% |


