League Two

League Two | Gameweek 4

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
5 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Oates (32' pen.), Lapslie (40'), Maris (56'), Harbottle (70'), Swan (87')
Quinn (45+1'), McLaughlin (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Davison (4', 16')
Marsh (28'), Currie (31'), Brown (45+4'), Ogundere (82')
Gunter (45')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Mansfield
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Stockport County	3	-1	3
17	Mansfield Town	3	-2	3
18	Gillingham	3	-4	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
56.84% ( -0.02)	24.76% ( 0.01)	18.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.12% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.48% (

-0)

56.52% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.49% (

-0)

77.51% (

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17% (

-0.01)

19.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.09% (

-0.01)

51.91% (

0.01)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.04% (

0.02)

44.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.1% (

0.01)

80.9% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 56.83%

AFC Wimbledon 18.4%

Draw 24.76%

Mansfield Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.5% Total : 56.83%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 18.4%