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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Rochdale

Colchester
0 - 1
Rochdale

FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodney (23' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawRochdale
49.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.66% (-0.02 -0.02)24.56% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.42% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.135 0.13)53.66% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.115 0.11)75.15% (-0.11 -0.11)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (0.040000000000006 0.04)21.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (0.061 0.06)54.67% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (0.131 0.13)36.98% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (0.132 0.13)73.76% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 49.78%
    Rochdale 24.56%
    Draw 25.66%
Colchester UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 24.56%

How you voted: Colchester vs Rochdale

Colchester United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rochdale
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
May 8, 2016 12.30pm
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Rochdale
3-1
Colchester
Henderson (30' pen.), McDermott (34'), Lancashire (54')
Porter (21')
Harriott (56'), Briggs (67')
Mar 7, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0


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