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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 49.78% ( | 25.66% ( | 24.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( | 53.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( | 75.15% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( | 21.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( | 54.67% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( | 36.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.24% ( | 73.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 49.78% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 24.56% |