League Two

League Two | Gameweek 10

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Sixfields

Northampton
3 - 0
Rochdale

Guthrie (42'), Hoskins (73', 81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Salford City	8	7	17
5	Northampton Town	8	6	17
6	Bradford City	8	4	14

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Gillingham	8	-7	6
23	Hartlepool United	8	-9	4
24	Rochdale	8	-8	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Rochdale
58.79% ( 0.4)	23.24% ( -0.18)	17.97% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 47.59% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

0.35)

51.47% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

0.31)

73.27% (

-0.32)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

0.27)

17.21% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49% (

0.48)

47.5% (

-0.49)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.49% (

-0.07)

42.51% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.12% (

-0.06)

78.87% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 58.78%

Rochdale 17.97%

Draw 23.23%

Northampton Town	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.78%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.23%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.97%