Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Rochdale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Salford City | 8 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Northampton Town | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Bradford City | 8 | 4 | 14 |
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Gillingham | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 23 | Hartlepool United | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Rochdale |
58.79% ( 0.4) | 23.24% ( -0.18) | 17.97% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
