League Two Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Guthrie 42' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 73' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 81' goal

Northampton Town vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 2 Northampton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Rochdale 0 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Devante Rodney

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result

Northampton Town 58.79% (+0.41)
Draw 23.24% (-0.18)
Rochdale 17.97% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.59% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.53% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 51.47% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 26.72% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 73.27% (-0.32)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.78% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 17.21% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 52.49% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 47.5% (-0.49)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 57.49% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 42.51% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 21.12% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.87% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 58.78%
Draw 23.23%
Rochdale 17.97%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 12.87% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 11.32% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.69% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.64% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.68% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.92% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.5% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-98.68)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 58.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.23%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.97%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tahvon Campbell 53' goal
  • yellowcard Joseph Mills 78'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 88'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jon Guthrie 21' goal
  • Sid Nelson 46' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 66' yellowcard
  • goal Max Taylor 17'
  • goal Josh Andrews 73'
  • goal Abraham Odoh 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Peter Kioso 56' yellowcard
  • Shaun McWilliams 75' yellowcard
  • Alan Sheehan 90'+4' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2020 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Stephen Humphrys 85' goal
  • goal Harry Smith 20'
  • yellowcard Jack Sowerby 79'
League One
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Long 31' yellowcard
  • Matt Crooks 73' yellowcard
  • Regan Poole 79' yellowcard
  • goal Calvin Andrew 53'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 67'
League One
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Bunney 10' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 25' goal
  • Ian Henderson 62' goal
  • Joe Rafferty 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ashton Taylor 70'
  • goal David Buchanan 78'
  • yellowcard John-Joe O'Toole 89'