League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 2
Northampton

Baker-Richardson (26', 41')
Mellor (63'), Agyei (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hoskins (43', 90+7')
Hoskins (41'), McWilliams (83'), Burge (90+5')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Barrow	4	2	9
6	Crewe Alexandra	4	2	9
7	Doncaster Rovers	4	2	8

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Northampton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Leyton Orient	4	4	10
3	Northampton Town	4	3	10
4	Stevenage	4	3	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 47.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Northampton Town
25.81% ( 0.04)	26.69% ( -0.07)	47.5% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.59% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.39% (

0.3)

56.61% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.42% (

0.24)

77.58% (

-0.23)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5% (

0.2)

37.5% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72% (

0.2)

74.28% (

-0.19)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

0.14)

23.86% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95% (

0.2)

58.05% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 25.81%

Northampton Town 47.5%

Draw 26.69%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.81%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.5%