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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 36.43% | 25.65% ( | 37.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% | 48.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% | 70.75% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% | 25.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.03% | 60.96% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.87% ( | 25.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.16% | 59.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.37% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.92% |