League Two

League Two | Gameweek 4

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
2 - 3
Northampton

Balagizi (4', 61')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Hoskins (13', 23'), Bowie (90+2')
Hylton (90+6')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Harrogate 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Colchester United	3	-2	1
21	Crawley Town	3	-2	1
22	Newport County	3	-3	1

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Salford City	3	5	7
4	Northampton Town	3	2	7
5	Stevenage	3	2	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Northampton Town
29.83% ( -0)	27.6% ( -0.01)	42.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11% (

0.03)

57.88% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4% (

0.02)

78.59% (

-0.03)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

0.01)

34.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

0.01)

71.67% (

-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1% (

0.02)

26.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79% (

0.02)

62.2% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 29.83%

Northampton Town 42.56%

Draw 27.59%

Crawley Town	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 29.83%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.56%