EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Nichols (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (45+1'), Loft (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Rochdale	2	-2	0
23	Tranmere Rovers	2	-2	0
24	Crawley Town	2	-2	0

Bristol Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Ipswich Town	2	1	4
8	Bristol Rovers	2	3	3
9	Fleetwood Town	2	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
41.31% ( -0.02)	25.25% ( 0.01)	33.45% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.73% (

-0.04)

47.27% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-0.04)

69.5% (

0.04)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.23% (

-0.03)

22.77% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.54% (

-0.04)

56.46% (

0.04)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

-0.02)

27.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55% (

-0.02)

62.45% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 41.31%

Bristol Rovers 33.45%

Draw 25.24%

Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.31%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.45%