Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.