League Two

League Two | Gameweek 3

Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Magloire (31'), Appere (57')
Pinnock (39'), Hoskins (58'), Haynes (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Umerah (45+4')
Menayese (52'), Lacey (58'), Crawford (76')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Salford City	2	2	4
8	Northampton Town	2	1	4
9	Carlisle United	2	1	4

Hartlepool United

Last Six:

Last Game: Blackburn 4-0 Hartlepool
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Swindon Town	2	-3	1
20	Hartlepool United	2	-4	1
21	Stockport County	2	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
54.76% ( 4.88)	24.75% ( -0.73)	20.49% ( -4.14)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

-2.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

-1.13)

54.05% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52% (

-0.95)

75.48% (

0.96)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.32% (

1.55)

19.68% (

-1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.33% (

2.46)

51.67% (

-2.45)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.84% (

-4.66)

41.17% (

4.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.3% (

-4.41)

77.7% (

4.42)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 54.75%

Hartlepool United 20.49%

Draw 24.74%

Northampton Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.16% ( 1.16) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 1.4) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.99) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.75%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.51) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.74) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.51) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.38) Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.49%