EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
4 - 0
Crewe

Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mellor (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Newport County	2	-1	1
18	Grimsby Town	2	-2	1
19	Swindon Town	2	-3	1

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Crewe 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Walsall	2	5	6
2	Crewe Alexandra	2	4	6
3	Leyton Orient	2	3	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
45.09% ( -0.05)	25.13% ( 0.01)	29.78% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.87% (

-0.03)

48.12% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

-0.03)

70.28% (

0.03)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

-0.04)

21.36% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

-0.06)

54.33% (

0.05)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

0.01)

29.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

0.01)

66.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 45.09%

Crewe Alexandra 29.78%

Draw 25.13%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.09%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.78%