| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Barnet | 44 | -30 | 50 |
| 19 | Eastleigh | 44 | -22 | 46 |
| 20 | Aldershot Town | 44 | -27 | 43 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 18.54% | 23.11% | 58.35% |
| Both teams to score 48.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.86% | 50.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% | 72.11% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.94% | 41.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.39% | 77.61% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% | 16.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.06% | 46.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.18% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.54% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 0-2 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-3 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 5.79% 0-4 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.15% 0-5 @ 1.03% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 58.34% |