| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Maidenhead United | 44 | -19 | 51 |
| 18 | Barnet | 44 | -30 | 50 |
| 19 | Eastleigh | 44 | -22 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Barnet win it was 1-0 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 14.46% | 20.29% | 65.25% |
| Both teams to score 49.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% | 45.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.57% | 43.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.35% | 79.65% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.89% | 13.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.25% | 39.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 4.75% 2-1 @ 4.02% 2-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.14% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.47% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.29% | 0-2 @ 11.75% 0-1 @ 11.56% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 6.64% 0-4 @ 4.04% 1-4 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-5 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.41% 1-5 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.92% Total : 65.23% |