| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
| 9 | Boreham Wood | 44 | 9 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 51.34% | 25.62% | 23.04% |
| Both teams to score 47.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% | 54.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% | 76.06% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% | 21.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% | 54.33% |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% | 38.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% | 75.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.34% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.04% |