FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK

Chigwell Construction Stadium

Dag & Red
3 - 1
Grimsby Town

Wilson (10', 90+1'), Brundle (90+6' pen.)
Ogogo (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Windsor (60' pen.)

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Grimsby Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Grimsby Town
33.81%	25.72%	40.47%

Both teams to score 54.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71%

49.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66%

71.34%

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17%

27.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57%

63.42%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.92%

24.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.64%

58.36%

Score Analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge 33.81%

Grimsby Town 40.47%

Draw 25.72%

Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.81%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.47%