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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 35.59% | 27% | 37.41% |
| Both teams to score 50.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.63% | 54.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% | 75.75% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% | 65.14% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% | 63.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.41% |