| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Torquay United | 44 | 12 | 66 |
| 12 | Yeovil Town | 44 | -3 | 59 |
| 13 | Southend United | 44 | -16 | 58 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 34.68% | 26.82% | 38.49% |
| Both teams to score 51.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% | 53.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% | 75.23% |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% | 29.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% | 65.46% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% | 27.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.68% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.49% |