Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 51.73% | 25.16% | 23.12% |
| Both teams to score 49.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% | 52.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% | 74.54% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% | 20.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.07% | 52.93% |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% | 37.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.33% | 74.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.16% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.6% Total : 51.72% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.12% |