Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.
