National League | Gameweek 29

Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Grimsby Town
3 - 1
Aldershot

Sousa (10'), McAtee (39', 60')
Waterfall (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Glover (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Grimsby Town and Aldershot Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Aldershot Town
59.52%	23.81%	16.67%

Both teams to score 43.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.53%

55.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.34%

76.66%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59%

18.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.43%

49.57%

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.5%

46.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.89%

82.11%

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 59.5%

Aldershot Town 16.67%

Draw 23.81%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 14.48% 2-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.29% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.03% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.5%	1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.81%	0-1 @ 6.56% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.67%