Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
| 34.23% | 26.19% | 39.58% |
| Both teams to score 53.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% | 51.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% | 73.02% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% | 28.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% | 64.26% |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% | 25.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% | 60.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.23% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.58% |