Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
| 28.35% | 26.06% | 45.59% |
| Both teams to score 51.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% | 52.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% | 74.33% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% | 33.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% | 69.93% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% | 23.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% | 56.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.92% Total : 45.59% |