Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 70.14% | 18.34% | 11.52% |
| Both teams to score 46.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% | 43.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% | 66.12% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.74% | 11.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.15% | 35.85% |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.95% | 47.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.47% | 82.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-0 @ 12.63% 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 6.94% 4-0 @ 5.02% 4-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.58% Total : 70.14% | 1-1 @ 8.72% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.34% | 0-1 @ 3.99% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.52% |