National League | Gameweek 4

Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

Grimsby Town
4 - 3
Barnet

McAtee (5' pen., 65' pen.), Taylor (75'), Hunt (90+2')
Taylor (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Tasdemir (33'), Bloomfield (43'), Widdowson (62')
Widdowson (65'), Granville (65'), Nugent (90+3')
Doherty (64')

Coverage of the National League clash between Grimsby Town and Barnet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Barnet
39.57%	26.38%	34.05%

Both teams to score 52.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.96%

52.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.23%

73.77%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2%

25.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25%

60.75%

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98%

29.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08%

64.92%

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 39.57%

Barnet 34.05%

Draw 26.38%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Barnet
1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.05%

Grimsby Town4 - 3Barnet

Data Analysis

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Grimsby Town
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