| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
| 8 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 44 | 27 | 73 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Notts County | 44 | 29 | 82 |
| 6 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 22 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 44 | 18 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 45.3% | 25.66% | 29.03% |
| Both teams to score 52.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% | 22.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% | 55.87% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% | 68.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.67% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.03% |