Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
40.36% | 26.62% | 33.01% |
Both teams to score 51.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% | 53.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.22% | 74.77% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.1% | 60.89% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% | 30.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% | 66.44% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 45 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 103 | 63 | 40 | 95 |
2 | Barnet | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 87 | 59 | 28 | 83 |
3 | Bromley | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 83 | 59 | 24 | 74 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 73 |
6 | Gateshead | 45 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 63 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 68 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 71 | 80 | -9 | 68 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 69 | 43 | 26 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 15 | 18 | 12 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67 | 63 | 4 | 59 |
12 | Eastleigh | 45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 59 |
13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 58 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 66 | 79 | -13 | 57 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 55 |
16 | Fylde | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 55 |
17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 53 |
18 | York City | 45 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 53 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 53 |
20 | Woking | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 52 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 51 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 45 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 54 | 93 | -39 | 33 |
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