Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wrexham |
| 45.89% | 26.92% | 27.18% |
| Both teams to score 47.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.39% | 56.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.41% | 77.59% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% | 24.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% | 59.13% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% | 36.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.88% | 73.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.18% |