Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
39.34% | 24.86% | 35.8% |
Both teams to score 58.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% | 45.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.55% | 67.45% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% | 22.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% | 56.5% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% | 24.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.8% | 59.2% |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-1 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 45 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 103 | 63 | 40 | 95 |
2 | Barnet | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 87 | 59 | 28 | 83 |
3 | Bromley | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 83 | 59 | 24 | 74 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 73 |
6 | Gateshead | 45 | 21 | 9 | 15 | 86 | 63 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 71 | 80 | -9 | 68 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 67 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 69 | 43 | 26 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Rochdale | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67 | 63 | 4 | 59 |
12 | Eastleigh | 45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 73 | 84 | -11 | 59 |
13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 58 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 66 | 79 | -13 | 57 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 66 | 60 | 6 | 55 |
16 | Fylde | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 55 |
17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 53 |
18 | York City | 45 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 53 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 53 |
20 | Woking | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 52 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 51 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 45 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 51 | 81 | -30 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 45 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 54 | 93 | -39 | 33 |
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