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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane
Wrexham AFC

Notts County
3 - 1
Wrexham

Wootton (10' pen., 39'), Richardson (67')
Cameron (17'), Smith (49'), Lacey (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hall-Johnson (4')
Hosannah (21'), Tozer (68'), Hayden (68')
Lennon (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Notts County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
39.34%24.86%35.8%
Both teams to score 58.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9%45.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.55%67.45%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2%22.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5%56.5%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8%59.2%
Score Analysis
    Notts County 39.34%
    Wrexham 35.8%
    Draw 24.85%
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 11.63%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-1 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.8%

How you voted: Notts County vs Wrexham

Notts County
31.6%
Draw
10.5%
Wrexham
57.9%
19
rhs 2.0


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