National League | Gameweek 20

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane

Notts County
4 - 1
Southend

Roberts (31'), Wootton (63', 71'), Cameron (88')
Rodrigues (44'), Francis (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dalby (10')
Ralph (61'), Dunne (66'), Brunt (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Southend United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Southend United
51.26%	24.1%	24.64%

Both teams to score 54.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.74%

47.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.51%

69.49%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56%

18.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38%

49.62%

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59%

33.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96%

70.03%

Score Analysis

Notts County 51.25%

Southend United 24.64%

Draw 24.1%

Notts County	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.65% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.35% Total : 51.25%	1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.35% Total : 24.64%

Notts County4 - 1Southend

Data Analysis

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Notts County
4 - 1
Southend