Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
| 35% | 26.16% | 38.85% |
| Both teams to score 53.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% | 50.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% | 72.83% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% | 27.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% | 63.52% |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% | 25.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% | 60.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.84% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.74% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.85% |