Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 56.18% | 23.11% | 20.72% |
| Both teams to score 52.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% | 47.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% | 69.48% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% | 16.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% | 46.46% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% | 37.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.18% | 73.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 5.93% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 0.95% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.12% Total : 56.18% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.12% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.72% |