Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 34.75% | 26.15% | 39.1% |
| Both teams to score 53.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% | 50.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% | 72.83% |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% | 28.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% | 63.71% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% | 25.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% | 60.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.75% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.1% |