National League | Gameweek 6

Sep 14, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Ten Acres

Eastleigh
4 - 1
Dover Athletic

Hill (20'), Pritchard (21'), House (41'), Hare (45')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Cosgrove (64')
Goodman (48'), Ofori-Twumasi (76')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Dover Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Dover Athletic
50.06%	24.95%	24.99%

Both teams to score 51.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.51%

50.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.58%

72.42%

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82%

20.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.52%

52.48%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14%

34.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.4%

71.6%

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 50.06%

Dover Athletic 24.99%

Draw 24.94%

Eastleigh	Draw	Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.06%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.99%