Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
37.58% | 26.08% | 36.34% |
Both teams to score 53.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% | 50.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.56% | 72.44% |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% | 26.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% | 61.27% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% | 26.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% | 62.21% |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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