Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 37.58% | 26.08% | 36.34% |
| Both teams to score 53.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% | 50.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% | 72.44% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% | 26.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% | 61.27% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% | 26.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% | 62.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.34% |