Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 27.9% | 25.9% | 46.2% |
| Both teams to score 51.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.67% | 52.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.98% | 74.01% |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% | 33.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% | 70.1% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% | 22.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% | 56.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.9% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 8.36% 1-3 @ 4.54% 0-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.2% |