Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
| 58.23% | 23.16% | 18.61% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% | 50.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% | 72.21% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% | 16.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% | 47.08% |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% | 41.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% | 77.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 58.22% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2% Total : 18.61% |