Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
58.23% | 23.16% | 18.61% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.75% | 50.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% | 72.21% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% | 16.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.92% | 47.08% |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.95% | 41.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.4% | 77.6% |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.77% 4-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.85% Total : 58.22% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2% Total : 18.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 41 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 100 | 55 | 45 | 95 |
2 | Barnet | 40 | 23 | 5 | 12 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 74 |
3 | Bromley | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 70 |
4 | Gateshead | 40 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 82 | 57 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 66 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 41 | 18 | 10 | 13 | 77 | 58 | 19 | 64 |
7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 64 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 62 |
9 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 41 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 55 |
11 | Rochdale | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 55 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 50 |
13 | Fylde | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 49 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 49 |
15 | Woking | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 48 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 47 |
17 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 47 |
18 | Eastleigh | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 47 |
19 | York City | 41 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 45 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 40 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 44 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 41 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 43 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 42 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 41 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 51 | 87 | -36 | 29 |
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