Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 39.71% | 27.78% | 32.51% |
| Both teams to score 48.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% | 57.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% | 78.51% |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% | 28.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% | 64.16% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% | 32.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% | 69.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.51% |