Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 32.01% | 27.38% | 40.61% |
| Both teams to score 49.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.58% | 56.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.57% | 77.43% |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% | 32.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% | 69.12% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% | 62.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.61% |