Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
| 46.59% | 25.77% | 27.65% |
| Both teams to score 51.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% | 51.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% | 73.69% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% | 22.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% | 55.73% |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% | 33.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% | 70.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.65% |