Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 44.79% | 25.59% | 29.62% |
| Both teams to score 53.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% | 50.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% | 72.12% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% | 22.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% | 55.83% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% | 31.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% | 67.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.8% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.62% |