Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stockport County | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 60.33% | 23.73% | 15.94% |
| Both teams to score 42.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.75% | 56.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% | 77.3% |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% | 18.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% | 49.56% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.05% | 47.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.81% | 83.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stockport County | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 14.93% 2-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 9.29% 3-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 5.24% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.04% 0-2 @ 2.38% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.94% |