Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Barnet win it was 2-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 20.79% | 22.19% | 57.02% |
| Both teams to score 55.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% | 43.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% | 65.54% |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% | 34.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.66% | 71.34% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% | 14.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.71% | 43.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 5.53% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.79% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 5.26% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-3 @ 6.29% 0-3 @ 5.93% 2-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-4 @ 2.82% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.76% Total : 57.02% |